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Fine-Grained Long-Term Analysis

of Resurgent Urban Morphotypes

Abstract

We present the methodology employed for the study of an architectural type within the Lisbon Metropolitan Area spanning over eight hundred years with two chief epochs of exponential growth and commonly referred today as the gated community. Covering the use of remote sensing, georeferencing, data scraping, contemporary census, early modern period population counts, spatial disaggregation, spatial analytics, network analysis and new network-based socio-urban measures, the methodology offers a single semi-automated design for the reproducible urban analysis of a metropolitan area, culminating with the production of eight urban models covering periods from the late XVI to the early XXI centuries. Evaluation carried out on the models through statistical analysis and probabilistic unsupervised learning methods shows the resurgence of morphological and socio-urban patterns separated in time by centuries of urban development.

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