Phil Plotch Analyzes Difficulties in Forecasting
Transit Ridership Post-Pandemic
Marron Fellow and Eno Center for Transportation Principal Researcher, Phil Plotch, has written “Transit Ridership: Not Expected to Return to Pre-Pandemic Levels This Decade,” analyzing transit ridership pre- and post-pandemic in several U.S. cities and discussing the challenges and uncertainty in forecasting ridership going forward:
Two lessons are clear when talking to planners across the country. First, forecasters need to obtain data from a wide range of sources. City planning departments, metropolitan planning organizations, employers, civic groups, real estate developers, and many others can provide valuable information. Second, transit agencies should conduct their forecasts in a transparent way that others can both understand and learn from them.