NYU Stern Urbanization Project Senior Research Scholar Alain Bertaud recently traveled to New Zealand to give several lectures on urbanization and urban transportation, including to The New Zealand Initiative in Wellington. There he recounted that
When I studied architecture and planning at the same time it was considered that it was about the same skill it’s just that working in cities were just working at a much larger scale but it was just a design skill that you had and the more detailed your plan the better it was supposed to be. This is an enormous confusion, and I think we are still paying the price for it right now. A city is a living organism which cannot be designed in advance…The shape of the city itself cannot really be designed because there is a lot of information that you leave out.
He then spoke to the group about features of city, like density and spatial form, which cannot be planned but are rather determined by individuals operating in a market. Cities are no longer monocentric, for example. Even in cities that are thought to be monocentric, like New York, only 30% of commuting trips are to and from or within Manhattan. All of the rest are suburb to suburb. Similarly, the urban village model, where people live and work near one of multiple centers within a city, does not exist. A city is one labor market, and residents don’t typically move their household and job simultaneously within the city.
Cities often try to control urban features that are best left to the market process. Bertaud recounted how in New York the garment industry was once located in Manhattan. As Manhattan developed and rents rose, garment factory owners decided to move to less developed parts of the city. These areas, however, retained their industrial zoning, and the building sat empty for many years. This was a loss to the landowners and the city, which was getting no productive use or property tax out of those lots. Squatters began to occupy the buildings, and the area was eventually rezoned to allow for residential uses.
Cities need to plan for public space, especially roads and parks, which would be undersupplied if left to the market. The challenge for urban planners is to work to enable the decisions of the market, not to “correct” the market into whatever plan the urban planner believes is ideal.